Sokol Zápy vs Baník Souš Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Sokol Zápy via a double-chance advice of “Sokol Zápy or draw,” though its 35% home, 35% draw, and 30% away probabilities show that this is a narrow edge rather than a clear separation. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Sokol Zápy leads on form (55.00 vs 45.00), attack (57.00 vs 43.00), head-to-head (71.00 vs 29.00), and goals (63.00 vs 38.00), but Baník Souš holds a decisive 75.00 vs 25.00 advantage in defence and a 63.00 vs 37.00 edge in the Poisson measure. The team analysis helps reconcile this tension: Sokol Zápy are unbeaten across seven matches (five wins, two draws, no losses) and have never failed to score, while Baník Souš are more volatile at four wins and two losses from six, with two scoreless outings. Sokol Zápy’s goals analysis supports the attacking side of the case, with 20 goals at 2.90 per match and a notable 30% scored in the 76–90 minute window, but their 1.30 goals conceded per game leaves room for Baník Souš to punish them. Baník Souš counter with the stronger defensive record, conceding only 0.50 per game and never allowing more than one goal in any of their six matches, even though their 2.30 goals-per-game output is lower than Sokol Zápy’s. The last-five records add nuance: Sokol Zápy have two wins and two draws plus one win in their most recent five, while Baník Souš show three wins, one draw, and one loss, including 3-0 and 4-0 victories but also a 0-1 home defeat. The head-to-head record is the most direct qualifier, as Sokol Zápy lead 71.00 to 29.00 overall yet the most recent meeting in March 2026 went 1-0 to Baník Souš away, and the eight-match series includes three Baník Souš wins, two draws, and only three Sokol Zápy wins. Overall, the evidence supports the existing double-chance advice because Sokol Zápy’s unbeaten form, scoring consistency, and head-to-head edge reduce the likelihood of an away win, but Baník Souš’s superior defence and Poisson rating mean the draw component is doing meaningful work and the outcome remains genuinely uncertain.

Predicted winner

Sokol Zápy

Betting advice

Double chance : Sokol Zápy or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Baník Souš 0–1 Sokol Zápy (14 Mar 2026)
2. Sokol Zápy 2–0 Baník Souš (17 Aug 2025)
3. Sokol Zápy 0–0 Baník Souš (25 May 2025)
4. Baník Souš 2–0 Sokol Zápy (26 Oct 2024)
5. Sokol Zápy 2–1 Baník Souš (31 May 2024)