Norway · 3. Division - Girone 3
Sogndal II vs Austevoll Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear home superiority.
- Sogndal II's stronger attack and perfect head-to-head record support their inclusion, but recent form favors Austevoll and tempers confidence.
- Austevoll's superior form and away clean-sheet record make them a live threat, which is why the draw leg carries equal weight.
- Both teams average roughly two goals conceded, and most matches exceed 1.5 goals, supporting the goals leg of the advice.
- The single head-to-head meeting produced four goals, reinforcing the over 1.5 expectation despite the small sample.
- Poisson and total ratings are nearly even, so the prediction leans on double chance to absorb the draw risk.
- Predicted winner
- Sogndal II
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Sogndal II or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sogndal II | Austevoll |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Attack | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sogndal II
Recent form: WWLWLWLWWLLDDDLWLWLLL.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Austevoll
Recent form: DDLLDLWWLDWWDLWWWDLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Austevoll 0–4 Sogndal II (26 Apr 2026)