Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

Socuéllamos vs Guadalajara II Prediction

Socuéllamos badgeSocuéllamos vs Guadalajara II badgeGuadalajara II

Match prediction

  • Socuéllamos' unbeaten but draw-heavy form and Guadalajara II's leaky defence support the double-chance advice, though the 45% draw probability signals limited separation.
  • Guadalajara II's attack rating exceeds Socuéllamos' defence, yet their 2.50 goals-against average and zero clean sheets favour the home side avoiding defeat.
  • Socuéllamos have scored just once in four matches, so the -3.5 goals component rests on their blunt attack rather than any expectation of a high-scoring home win.
  • Both teams' goal records show no match exceeding 3.5 goals, reinforcing the under recommendation despite Guadalajara II's heavy 2-6 loss.
  • The absence of head-to-head data and Socuéllamos' three draws in four games make the draw a genuine threat within the double chance.
  • Guadalajara II's 25% form and three defeats in four contrast with Socuéllamos' resilience, but the narrow Poisson split suggests the edge is modest.
Predicted winner
Socuéllamos
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Socuéllamos or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSocuéllamosGuadalajara II
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack20.0%80.0%
Defence77.0%23.0%
Poisson51.0%49.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total55.8%44.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Socuéllamos

Recent form: DDDL.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Guadalajara II

Recent form: LLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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