Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Nyköping Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight Smedby win.
- Nyköping's superior form, attack and defence ratings conflict with Smedby's home advantage, keeping the outright winner uncertain.
- Smedby's strong head-to-head and goals records support their side of the double chance despite Nyköping's better overall profile.
- Smedby's recent three defeats in five weaken confidence, though Nyköping's away form also shows inconsistency.
- Smedby's home scoring and Nyköping's away scoring suggest both teams can contribute, supporting the cautious double-chance advice.
- The narrow probability gap means the draw is a genuine component of the advice, not merely insurance.
- Predicted winner
- Smedby
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Smedby or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Smedby | Nyköping |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Smedby
Recent form: WWWWWLLDWDLWLLWDWDWDLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Nyköping
Recent form: WLWWWWDWWWLLDWLWLDLWWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Nyköping 0–1 Smedby (15 Jun 2026)
- Smedby 2–2 Nyköping (19 Sep 2025)
- Nyköping 0–1 Smedby (16 Jun 2025)
- Smedby 5–1 Nyköping (05 Aug 2024)
- Nyköping 2–1 Smedby (07 Apr 2024)