Slovan Liberec II vs Benátky nad Jizerou Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Benátky nad Jizerou as the winner, but its own probabilities of 10% home, 45% draw and 45% away suggest this is a marginal call rather than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Benátky dominate form (92 versus 8), attack (64 versus 36), defence (80 versus 20) and Poisson (86 versus 14), yet the head-to-head and goals splits sit much closer at 50/50 and 55/45. The team analysis complicates the picture further: Benátky's overall record of one win, one draw and four defeats across six matches is weaker than Slovan Liberec II's three wins, two draws and one loss, even though Benátky's recent form string of WLLDLL differs from Liberec's LDDWWW. Liberec's defensive numbers look relatively solid, with only four goals conceded in six games and three clean sheets, while Benátky have conceded thirteen and kept none, which is a meaningful counterweight to the model's away lean. The goals analysis shows Liberec scoring seven at 1.20 per game and conceding 0.70, against Benátky's six scored at 1.00 and 2.20 conceded, so the defensive gap is the clearest statistical separation between the sides. The last-five records add a conflicting signal, as Benátky's listed run includes three wins and two draws with only three goals conceded, whereas Liberec's shows four defeats and one draw with seven conceded, suggesting recent form may be more volatile than the season-long totals imply. The head-to-head record is genuinely balanced at three wins each from six meetings, with Benátky winning the most recent encounter 2-0 and also winning 3-2 away at Liberec in August 2025, which slightly supports the away side without being decisive. Overall, the evidence supports the existing Benátky advice mainly through the comparison and Poisson metrics, but the draw probability, Liberec's better defensive record and the split head-to-head mean the prediction should be treated as uncertain rather than confident.

Predicted winner

Benátky nad Jizerou

Betting advice

Winner : Benátky nad Jizerou

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Benátky nad Jizerou 2–0 Slovan Liberec II (07 Mar 2026)
2. Slovan Liberec II 2–3 Benátky nad Jizerou (10 Aug 2025)
3. Benátky nad Jizerou 1–2 Slovan Liberec II (27 Apr 2025)
4. Slovan Liberec II 0–0 Benátky nad Jizerou (29 Sep 2024)
5. Benátky nad Jizerou 0–1 Slovan Liberec II (14 May 2023)