Poland · III Liga - Group 3

Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Prediction

Ślęza Wrocław badgeŚlęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra badgeKarkonosze Jelenia Góra

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even probabilities and double-chance advice reflect genuine uncertainty, since home and away win chances are identical at 35 percent.
  • Ślęza's stronger attack and head-to-head record support the home side, but Karkonosze's superior form and defence counterbalance that edge.
  • Karkonosze's five home clean sheets contrast sharply with zero away clean sheets, undermining their defensive reputation for this away fixture.
  • Ślęza's leaky defence, conceding 2.6 goals per game, explains why the model cannot justify a straight home win despite the attacking advantage.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been low-scoring and tight, reinforcing the draw probability and the cautious double-chance recommendation.
  • Karkonosze's away form shows three losses in four, suggesting their overall form rating overstates their threat on the road.
Predicted winner
Ślęza Wrocław
Betting advice
Double chance : Ślęza Wrocław or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorŚlęza WrocławKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson50.0%50.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals57.0%43.0%
Total48.8%51.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Ślęza Wrocław

Recent form: LLWLLWLLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Recent form: DWDWLDLWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ślęza Wrocław 1–0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (27 Feb 2026)
  2. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1–1 Ślęza Wrocław (16 Aug 2025)
  3. Ślęza Wrocław 0–0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (26 Apr 2025)
  4. Ślęza Wrocław 2–1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (25 Jan 2025)
  5. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1–0 Ślęza Wrocław (28 Sep 2024)
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