Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie B

Slaný vs Ústí nad Labem II Prediction

Slaný badgeSlaný vs Ústí nad Labem II badgeÚstí nad Labem II

Match prediction

  • The model gives Slaný and the draw equal 45% shares, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Ústí's attack rating and recent scoring suggest the away side can contribute, which supports the +1.5 goals component despite its low 10% win probability.
  • Slaný's defensive rating is weaker than its attack, and its last five show repeated concessions, qualifying any expectation of a comfortable home win.
  • Head-to-head results favour Slaný overall, yet Ústí won the two most recent meetings, so that historical edge is not decisive.
  • Both teams' goal data show most matches staying under 2.5, making the +1.5 line a modest threshold rather than a high-scoring forecast.
  • Ústí's poor form and heavy defeats explain its low win probability, but its occasional scoring keeps the draw plausible within the double chance.
Predicted winner
Slaný
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Slaný or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSlanýÚstí nad Labem II
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson82.0%18.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total55.8%44.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Slaný

Recent form: DDWLLWLL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Ústí nad Labem II

Recent form: LDLLWLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Slaný 2–4 Ústí nad Labem II (28 Mar 2026)
  2. Ústí nad Labem II 2–4 Slaný (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Slaný 2–2 Ústí nad Labem II (24 May 2025)
  4. Ústí nad Labem II 0–1 Slaný (27 Oct 2024)
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