Škofja Loka vs Rudar Trbovlje Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Škofja Loka's unbeaten home record, with two wins and two draws, supports the home-or-draw selection despite Rudar's superior attack rating.
- Rudar's three straight defeats, conceding three goals twice, weaken their away threat and reinforce the cautious double-chance approach.
- Both head-to-head meetings ended level, including a 3-3 draw, showing these sides are closely matched and a draw remains plausible.
- Škofja Loka scores heavily at home while Rudar concedes often away, making the +1.5 goals component well supported.
- Rudar's away form is volatile, with wins and heavy losses, so the model's low 10% away probability reflects that inconsistency.
- Predicted winner
- Škofja Loka
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Škofja Loka or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Škofja Loka | Rudar Trbovlje |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Poisson | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Škofja Loka
Recent form: WLDDWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Rudar Trbovlje
Recent form: DWWWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Škofja Loka 2–2 Rudar Trbovlje (14 Mar 2026)
- Rudar Trbovlje 3–3 Škofja Loka (31 Aug 2025)


