Slovenia · 3. SNL - West

Škofja Loka vs Rudar Trbovlje Prediction

Škofja Loka badgeŠkofja Loka vs Rudar Trbovlje badgeRudar Trbovlje

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Škofja Loka's unbeaten home record, with two wins and two draws, supports the home-or-draw selection despite Rudar's superior attack rating.
  • Rudar's three straight defeats, conceding three goals twice, weaken their away threat and reinforce the cautious double-chance approach.
  • Both head-to-head meetings ended level, including a 3-3 draw, showing these sides are closely matched and a draw remains plausible.
  • Škofja Loka scores heavily at home while Rudar concedes often away, making the +1.5 goals component well supported.
  • Rudar's away form is volatile, with wins and heavy losses, so the model's low 10% away probability reflects that inconsistency.
Predicted winner
Škofja Loka
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Škofja Loka or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorŠkofja LokaRudar Trbovlje
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack47.0%53.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson77.0%23.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total54.7%45.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Škofja Loka

Recent form: WLDDWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Rudar Trbovlje

Recent form: DWWWLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Škofja Loka 2–2 Rudar Trbovlje (14 Mar 2026)
  2. Rudar Trbovlje 3–3 Škofja Loka (31 Aug 2025)
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