Skiljebo vs Täby Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a Skiljebo win or draw, expressed as a double chance with home and draw probabilities both at 45% and Täby at just 10%, so the advice rests on a narrow gap between the two strongest outcomes rather than a clear home edge. That caution is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Skiljebo leads on form (62 vs 38), attack (62 vs 38), defence (58 vs 42) and Poisson (63 vs 37), yet the head-to-head and goals splits favour Täby at 62 vs 38 and 54 vs 46 respectively, creating a genuine tension in the evidence. Skiljebo's season record of 15 wins, 5 draws and only 2 defeats across 22 matches, including 7 home wins and no home losses, supports the view that they are hard to beat, while Täby's 11 wins and 6 defeats with a 3-5 away record suggests their threat is more conditional. The goals analysis reinforces that contrast: Skiljebo average 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded, whereas Täby average 1.80 scored and 1.10 conceded, but Täby's defensive numbers are heavily home-weighted at 0.60 conceded at home versus 1.50 away. Recent form sharpens the picture, with Skiljebo unbeaten in their last five (four wins and a draw, including a 4-0 away win at Bollstanäs), while Täby have two wins, two draws and a loss in the same span. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, as Täby won the most recent meeting 1-0 in May 2026 and have not lost to Skiljebo in the last three encounters, although Skiljebo's 2-0 home win in April 2025 shows the fixture can swing their way. Both teams' scoring is concentrated late, with Skiljebo netting 30.77% of goals in the 76-90 minute window and Täby 25.64% in the 46-60 window, which may keep the match open even if the double chance holds. Overall, the model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities look like a reasonable reflection of a fixture where Skiljebo's form and home solidity are offset by Täby's head-to-head edge and better away scoring output, so the double chance is best read as a cautious lean rather than a confident call.

Predicted winner

Skiljebo

Betting advice

Double chance : Skiljebo or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Täby 1–0 Skiljebo (30 May 2026)
2. Täby 2–2 Skiljebo (20 Sep 2025)
3. Skiljebo 2–0 Täby (20 Apr 2025)
4. Täby 2–0 Skiljebo (26 Jun 2019)
5. Skiljebo 2–2 Täby (13 Apr 2019)