Skellefteå vs Gottne Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Skellefteå as the winner, yet its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only 10% for Gottne, so the advice carries clear uncertainty rather than a strong edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Skellefteå leads on form (83 versus 17), attack (64 versus 36), defence (56 versus 44), Poisson (71 versus 29), head-to-head (62 versus 38), goals (65 versus 35) and total (66.8 versus 33.2), pointing to a broad but not unanimous advantage. Skellefteå's season record of 13 wins, six draws and three defeats from 22 matches, including 10 clean sheets and only one failure to score, contrasts with Gottne's eight wins, four draws and 10 defeats, a single clean sheet and four scoreless games. The goals analysis supports that gap: Skellefteå average 2.00 goals for and 1.00 against, while Gottne average 1.90 for but 2.10 against, with their away defensive average rising to 2.50. Gottne's late-match vulnerability is notable, as 38.46% of the goals they concede arrive between the 76th and 90th minutes, whereas Skellefteå's concessions are more evenly spread. Recent form complicates the picture, because Skellefteå's last five produced two wins, two draws and one loss, including a 0-5 defeat at IFK Östersund, while Gottne's last five yielded one draw and four defeats. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed rather than one-sided, with four draws, three Skellefteå wins and three Gottne wins across 10 meetings, and the most recent fixture on 22 August 2026 ended 2-2. That recent draw, together with the equal 45% home and draw probabilities, suggests the model's winner advice is best read as a lean towards Skellefteå rather than a confident separation.

Predicted winner

Skellefteå

Betting advice

Winner : Skellefteå

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Gottne 2–2 Skellefteå (22 Aug 2026)
2. Gottne 2–2 Skellefteå (11 Oct 2025)
3. Skellefteå 5–0 Gottne (09 Aug 2025)
4. Skellefteå 0–2 Gottne (28 Sep 2024)
5. Gottne 0–2 Skellefteå (09 Jun 2024)