Skedsmo vs Ulfstind Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Skedsmo with a "win or draw" combo double chance and +1.5 goals, but its own probabilities are unusually split at 45% home, 45% draw and only 10% away, so the advice rests on Skedsmo avoiding defeat rather than on a clear edge. That caution is echoed by the comparison metrics, where Skedsmo dominates form (81 vs 19), defence (87 vs 13) and Poisson (86 vs 14), yet Ulfstind actually leads attack 56 to 44 and goals 71 to 29, meaning the two teams' profiles pull in different directions. The head-to-head record is the sharpest counterweight, since the only meeting shown is Ulfstind's 5-2 home win over Skedsmo in April 2026, giving the away side a 100% h2h score despite its otherwise poor numbers. Skedsmo's season form of 15 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses across 20 matches, including a seven-game winning streak, contrasts with Ulfstind's 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses and a seven-game losing run, which is the strongest broad trend in the evidence. Skedsmo's goals analysis supports the +1.5 element: it averages 2.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, with 15 of 20 matches going over 1.5 goals, while Ulfstind averages 1.80 scored but a heavy 3.50 conceded, and 17 of its 20 matches featured over 1.5 goals. Ulfstind's defensive numbers are the most extreme in the data, including 4.20 goals conceded per away game and a 10-1 away defeat, which helps explain why the model still favours Skedsmo despite the h2h result. The last-five records reinforce the same split: Skedsmo has four wins and a draw with only three goals conceded, whereas Ulfstind has lost all five, conceding 23 goals including 6-1 and 5-0 defeats. The main tension is therefore between Ulfstind's single head-to-head success and its current collapse, and with the draw probability equal to the home win, the model's advice looks more like a hedge against Skedsmo's inconsistency than a confident call.

Predicted winner

Skedsmo

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Skedsmo or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ulfstind 5–2 Skedsmo (12 Apr 2026)