SK Poltava vs Chernihiv Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, while Chernihiv's 10% away win probability makes an away victory the clear minority outcome.
• Poltava's superior form, attack, defence, and Poisson ratings all point the same direction, reinforcing the home-or-draw selection rather than merely reflecting one strong metric.
• Chernihiv's four draws in eight matches and winless away record support the draw leg of the double chance, even though Poltava's overall profile is stronger.
• Both teams' goal data show no match exceeding 3.5 goals, which directly supports the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
• Poltava's six clean sheets and 0.60 goals-against average indicate a low-scoring home performance is plausible, aligning with the under 3.5 goals expectation.
• The head-to-head record is mixed with two draws and one win each, so it tempers confidence in an outright home win and supports covering the draw.

Predicted winner

SK Poltava

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : SK Poltava or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Chernihiv 2–2 SK Poltava (25 Nov 2023)
2. SK Poltava 2–0 Chernihiv (23 Sep 2023)
3. Chernihiv 0–1 SK Poltava (20 Nov 2022)
4. SK Poltava 1–1 Chernihiv (01 Oct 2022)