Sighetu Marmaţiei vs SCM Zalău Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives SCM Zalău a double-chance edge of draw or away win, with home, draw and away probabilities of 10%, 45% and 45%, so the advice rests on the near-equal draw and away outcomes rather than a clear away superiority. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where SCM Zalău leads on form (56 versus 44), defence (63 versus 38), Poisson (77 versus 23), head-to-head (62 versus 38), goals (71 versus 29) and total (63.20 versus 37), while attack is level at 50 for both sides. The team analysis supports the same lean but with nuance: Sighetu Marmaţiei's LWDDW record includes two wins, two draws and one loss, whereas SCM Zalău's LWDWW has three wins, one draw and one loss, giving the visitors the stronger recent points return. Defensively the gap is more pronounced, as SCM Zalău have three clean sheets and only three goals conceded across five games, while Sighetu Marmaţiei have two clean sheets but five goals against, including a 1-2 home loss to Minaur Baia Mare. The goals analysis adds a further qualification, since both teams have scored nine goals at an identical 1.80 average, yet SCM Zalău's away scoring average of 2.50 contrasts with Sighetu Marmaţiei's home average of 2.00, and the visitors' 0.60 goals-against average is far better than the hosts' 1.00. The last-five records show SCM Zalău arriving with a 4-0 home win over Unirea Tăşnad and a 3-2 away win at Transilvania Sport Academy, while Sighetu Marmaţiei's most recent outing was a 3-0 away win at Bihorul Beiuş, so both teams carry recent attacking form into this fixture. The head-to-head record is the most conflicting section, because SCM Zalău lead the aggregate 62 to 38 but Sighetu Marmaţiei won the most recent meeting 1-0 in March 2026 and also won 3-2 at home in April 2024, showing that the historical edge is not one-sided. Across the ten head-to-head matches there are three draws, including a 1-1 in October 2025 and a 0-0 in March 2024, which helps explain why the model assigns 45% to the draw rather than a decisive away probability. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the draw-or-SCM Zalău advice through the visitors' better form, defence and Poisson profile, but the level attack metrics, the hosts' recent head-to-head wins and the small five-game samples mean this should be treated as a tentative lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

SCM Zalău

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or SCM Zalău

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Sighetu Marmaţiei 1–0 SCM Zalău (07 Mar 2026)
2. SCM Zalău 1–1 Sighetu Marmaţiei (10 Oct 2025)
3. SCM Zalău 3–0 Sighetu Marmaţiei (13 Dec 2024)
4. Sighetu Marmaţiei 2–2 SCM Zalău (05 Oct 2024)
5. SCM Zalău 6–1 Sighetu Marmaţiei (07 May 2024)