Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since Siarka's superior form and defence outweigh Korona's stronger attack.
- Korona's away record of four defeats without a win, including a 6-2 loss, undermines their attacking threat on the road.
- Siarka's defensive score of 67 against Korona's 33 is the clearest separator, supporting the advice despite Siarka's modest attack.
- Head-to-head results are mixed across six meetings, so they add little certainty beyond the model's already cautious double-chance stance.
- Korona's 3.80 away goals-against average exposes a defensive fragility that Siarka's home advantage should exploit.
- Both teams' recent form is inconsistent, which explains why the model favours avoiding defeat rather than a straight home win.
- Predicted winner
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Siarka Tarnobrzeg or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Korona Kielce II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Recent form: DLWLLWWDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Korona Kielce II
Recent form: LLLDLWLDLW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Korona Kielce II 1–2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg (28 Mar 2026)
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3–1 Korona Kielce II (06 Sep 2025)
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1–3 Korona Kielce II (12 Apr 2025)
- Korona Kielce II 1–3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg (02 Oct 2024)
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1–2 Korona Kielce II (05 Jun 2021)