Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction
· IAI Stadium Nihondaira
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Shimizu S-pulse or draw and +1.5 goals
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, frames this as a marginal call rather than a clear edge.
- Shimizu's superior defensive rating contrasts with Nagasaki's stronger attack, so the double chance hedges genuine two-way uncertainty.
- Both sides won their only recorded cup tie, but those single-match samples are too small to carry predictive weight.
- Recent form is identical at 50%, and head-to-head is split evenly, reinforcing why the draw is priced so heavily.
- Both teams scored in their latest outings, supporting the +1.5 goals component alongside the double chance.
- Nagasaki's away loss to Gainare Tottori slightly undercuts their attacking edge, keeping the home-or-draw advice reasonable.
- Predicted winner
- Shimizu S-pulse
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Shimizu S-pulse or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Shimizu S-pulse | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 51.4% | 48.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Shimizu S-pulse
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
V-varen Nagasaki
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 V-varen Nagasaki (29 Apr 2026)
- V-varen Nagasaki 0–3 Shimizu S-pulse (05 Apr 2026)
- Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki (07 Sep 2024)
- V-varen Nagasaki 4–1 Shimizu S-pulse (10 Mar 2024)
- Shimizu S-pulse 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki (01 Jul 2023)