Iran · Azadegan League

Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun Prediction

Shenavarsazi Qeshm badgeShenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Soongoun badgeMes Soongoun

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home win probability sits level with the draw, so the winner advice carries clear uncertainty rather than a decisive edge.
  • Shenavarsazi Qeshm's three straight draws, including two goalless away games, suggest a low-scoring profile that supports the draw probability as much as the home pick.
  • Mes Soongoun's head-to-head advantage and superior goals comparison conflict with the home winner advice, weakening confidence in that selection.
  • Both sides have drawn frequently across recent matches, reinforcing that the draw probability is a genuine threat to the stated winner advice.
  • The Poisson comparison heavily favors the home side, which is the strongest statistical basis for the model's home winner selection.
  • Shenavarsazi Qeshm's attack and form ratings exceed Mes Soongoun's, supporting the home advice despite the head-to-head and goals data pointing the other way.
Predicted winner
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Betting advice
Winner : Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorShenavarsazi QeshmMes Soongoun
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total49.8%50.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Recent form: DDD.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Mes Soongoun

Recent form: LDD.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Mes Soongoun 1–1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm (27 Jun 2026)
  2. Shenavarsazi Qeshm 0–0 Mes Soongoun (06 Dec 2025)
  3. Mes Soongoun 3–1 Shenavarsazi Qeshm (08 Feb 2024)
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