Iran · Azadegan League

Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa Prediction

Shahin Bandar Ameri badgeShahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa badgeSaipa

Match prediction

  • Saipa's perfect three-win start, including two clean sheets, justifies the model's 45% away win probability and the draw-or-Saipa double chance.
  • Shahin Bandar Ameri's three draws without a win, scoring only once at home, explain why their win probability is just 10%.
  • The draw also carries 45%, reflecting Shahin's resilience in avoiding defeat, so the double chance sensibly hedges against a stalemate.
  • Both teams' goal data show no match exceeding 3.5 goals, supporting the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Saipa's attack and defence ratings far exceed Shahin's, yet the head-to-head draw and low scoring suggest the margin may stay narrow.
  • Shahin's recent form includes older losses, but their current three-draw streak and one home clean sheet keep a low-scoring draw plausible.
Predicted winner
Saipa
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Saipa and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorShahin Bandar AmeriSaipa
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total37.6%62.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Shahin Bandar Ameri

Recent form: DDD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Saipa

Recent form: WWW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Saipa 1–1 Shahin Bandar Ameri (10 Mar 2024)
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