Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest
SGV Freiberg vs TSV Steinbach Prediction
Match prediction
- Freiberg's unbeaten record and superior form justify favoring them, though the 45% draw probability signals the model sees this as far from certain.
- Steinbach's away form is notably weak with three losses and no wins, supporting the home lean despite their recent home victory.
- Freiberg's attack averages nearly double Steinbach's goals per game, making the +1.5 goals component of the advice well grounded.
- Both teams concede late goals frequently, so the +1.5 goals threshold appears comfortably achievable even in a tight contest.
- Head-to-head results are mixed with away wins and draws, which tempers confidence in a straightforward home victory.
- Freiberg's high-scoring home matches and Steinbach's leaky away defense together support the combined winner and goals advice.
- Predicted winner
- SGV Freiberg
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : SGV Freiberg and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | SGV Freiberg | TSV Steinbach |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Total | 64.3% | 35.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
SGV Freiberg
Recent form: WWDWDDWWD.
Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.
TSV Steinbach
Recent form: DDDWLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- SGV Freiberg 1–3 TSV Steinbach (18 Apr 2026)
- TSV Steinbach 1–1 SGV Freiberg (11 Oct 2025)
- SGV Freiberg 4–0 TSV Steinbach (30 Nov 2024)
- TSV Steinbach 0–2 SGV Freiberg (03 Aug 2024)
- SGV Freiberg 1–1 TSV Steinbach (04 May 2024)