SF Baumberg vs Germania Ratingen Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward SF Baumberg via a combo double chance with over 1.5 goals, but its own probabilities are nearly flat at 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice reflects a marginal edge rather than a clear favourite. That edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Baumberg's form score of 76 versus 24 and attack score of 67 versus 33 are the widest gaps, while defence (55 versus 45) and Poisson (55 versus 45) are more modest and head-to-head actually tilts the other way at 40 versus 60. The head-to-head record explains that counterweight, since Germania Ratingen won the most recent meeting 5-1 in March 2026 and also took a 1-0 home win in February 2025, though Baumberg won 1-0 in October 2025 and the wider ten-match series is mixed with several away wins and draws. Baumberg's team analysis shows the stronger underlying profile: six matches without defeat (four wins, two draws), a 3-1-0 away split, a three-game winning streak and no match in which they failed to score. Ratingen, by contrast, are winless in six with five draws and one loss, including a 1-4 home defeat to Fortuna Düsseldorf II, and they have failed to score only once, so their resilience in drawing games is real but their ceiling looks limited. The goals analysis supports the over 1.5 component, as Baumberg average 2.80 goals scored and Ratingen 1.70, and both teams have seen over 1.5 goals in five of six matches, while Baumberg have scored in every game and conceded in every game. Ratingen's defensive numbers are the weaker side of the ledger, conceding 2.20 per match overall and 2.70 at home, which is consistent with Baumberg's attack score advantage and with the high-scoring recent head-to-head results. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Baumberg have four wins and a 4-4 draw, scoring at least twice in every match, whereas Ratingen have one loss and four draws, including a 0-0 at BW Dingden and a 3-3 at home to Büderich. The main qualification is that Ratingen's five draws in six games show they are hard to beat even without winning, and their head-to-head edge plus Baumberg's zero clean sheets mean the double-chance advice is safer than a straight home win, while the over 1.5 goals leg is well supported by both teams' scoring and conceding patterns. Minute-by-minute goal timings are unavailable for both teams, so the goals evidence rests on totals and match-level distributions rather than on when goals tend to arrive.

Predicted winner

SF Baumberg

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : SF Baumberg or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Germania Ratingen 5–1 SF Baumberg (27 Mar 2026)
2. SF Baumberg 1–0 Germania Ratingen (03 Oct 2025)
3. Germania Ratingen 1–0 SF Baumberg (14 Feb 2025)
4. SF Baumberg 2–3 Germania Ratingen (31 Aug 2024)
5. Germania Ratingen 1–3 SF Baumberg (21 Apr 2024)