Sevilla W vs Eibar W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Eibar W a double chance of draw or away win, with the probabilities split evenly at 45% for both the draw and an Eibar victory against only 10% for a Sevilla W win. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Eibar edge form 54 to 46 and defence 60 to 40, while Sevilla hold the attacking and goals edges at 57 to 43 and 45 to 55 respectively, leaving the Poisson and head-to-head columns neutral at 0-0 and 50-50. The team analysis adds nuance: Sevilla have two wins and two losses from four games with a WLLW sequence, but their only home outing produced a 0-4 defeat to Barcelona W, whereas Eibar's WDLW record includes two home clean sheets and an unbeaten away draw at Real Madrid W. Eibar's defensive numbers look the more reliable foundation, with three clean sheets in four and only four goals conceded, compared with Sevilla's six conceded and a 4.00 home goals-against average from a single match. Sevilla's goal profile is also thin, four goals in four games at 1.00 per match, and they have failed to score twice, which tempers the value of their superior attack rating. The goals analysis shows Sevilla scoring spread across the 0-15, 31-45 and 76-90 windows, while Eibar's three goals all arrived after half-time, suggesting a possible second-half pattern rather than early dominance. The last-five records reinforce the low-scoring tone, with Sevilla's recent run including a 3-1 win at Granad. Tenerife W, a 0-1 loss at Madrid CFF W, a 0-4 home loss to Barcelona W, a 1-0 win at Deportivo de La Coruña W and a 0-0 draw at Espanyol W, while Eibar's include a 1-0 home win over Athletic Club W, a 1-4 home loss to FC Levante Badalona W, a 0-0 draw at Real Madrid W, a 1-0 home win over Espanyol W and a 2-1 home win over Edf Logrono W. The head-to-head record is the most awkward evidence for the advice, since the last two meetings produced a 0-0 draw at this venue and a 0-1 Eibar win at Ipurua, yet the wider ten-match series is mixed with Sevilla winning three of the older home fixtures. Overall, the draw-or-Eibar advice rests on Eibar's defensive solidity and Sevilla's blunt home attack, but the even 45-45 split and the recent 0-0 between these sides mean the draw component carries much of the weight rather than a clear away-win signal.

Predicted winner

Eibar W

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Eibar W

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Sevilla W 0–0 Eibar W (26 May 2026)
2. Eibar W 0–1 Sevilla W (31 Aug 2025)
3. Sevilla W 1–3 Eibar W (18 May 2025)
4. Eibar W 0–3 Sevilla W (11 Jan 2025)
5. Eibar W 3–0 Sevilla W (13 Apr 2024)