Serrano PB vs Guarabira Prediction
Match prediction
- Guarabira's perfect defensive record and four straight wins justify the model's 50% away win probability despite the equally high draw share.
- Serrano PB's five-match winless run, including four draws, explains why the model assigns zero home probability and frames the draw as the main alternative.
- Guarabira's 14 goals scored against zero conceded across five matches sharply contrasts Serrano's four goals scored and six conceded, supporting the away-winner advice.
- The head-to-head sample is a single 2025 away win for Guarabira, so it reinforces rather than independently proves the current prediction.
- Serrano's tendency toward low-scoring draws and Guarabira's clean sheets suggest the winner market is safer than any goals-based interpretation.
- Guarabira's away form of three wins from three, including a 6-0 result, strengthens the case for backing them outside home advantage.
- Predicted winner
- Guarabira
- Betting advice
- Winner : Guarabira
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Serrano PB | Guarabira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Attack | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 26.3% | 73.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Serrano PB
Recent form: DDDLD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Guarabira
Recent form: WWWWD.
Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Serrano PB 1–2 Guarabira (09 Sep 2025)