Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast

Septemvri Tervel vs Septemvri Dragoevo Prediction

Septemvri Tervel badgeSeptemvri Tervel vs Septemvri Dragoevo badgeSeptemvri Dragoevo

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify favoring Septemvri Tervel only through the double chance, not as an outright winner.
  • Tervel's superior form, defence, and Poisson scores support the home side, though the equal draw probability signals the model expects a tight contest.
  • Dragoevo's away record of two losses without a win, including a 4-1 defeat, weakens their case and reinforces the double-chance advice.
  • Both teams scoring in every recent match and Tervel's home average of 2.70 goals support the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Dragoevo's away defence concedes three goals per game, making a low-scoring outcome unlikely and strengthening the over 1.5 selection.
  • The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests on current form and goal data rather than any historical matchup pattern.
Predicted winner
Septemvri Tervel
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Septemvri Tervel or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSeptemvri TervelSeptemvri Dragoevo
Form62.0%38.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence71.0%29.0%
Poisson78.0%22.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total66.0%34.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Septemvri Tervel

Recent form: DWWD.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Septemvri Dragoevo

Recent form: WLDWLD.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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