Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice the coherent read, since Fajr Sepasi's 10% away share is the clear outlier.
• Sepahan's superior attack and defensive ratings, plus a perfect head-to-head record at this venue, support their edge without justifying a straight win.
• Fajr Sepasi's four draws in six matches, including three at home, show a low-variance side whose resilience explains why the draw carries equal weight.
• Both teams' goal logs stay under 2.5 in every match, so the -3.5 goals line reflects a genuinely low-scoring profile rather than a marginal call.
• Sepahan's four clean sheets and Fajr Sepasi's three underscore that defensive solidity, not attacking output, drives the under-goals expectation.
• Sepahan's mixed recent form, including two home defeats, tempers the home advantage and justifies hedging with the draw rather than backing a win.

Predicted winner

Sepahan FC

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Sepahan FC or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Sepahan FC 2–0 Fajr Sepasi (05 Dec 2025)
2. Sepahan FC 2–0 Fajr Sepasi (06 Mar 2022)
3. Fajr Sepasi 0–2 Sepahan FC (24 Nov 2021)