Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Selaya vs Naval Reinosa Prediction

Selaya badgeSelaya vs Naval Reinosa badgeNaval Reinosa

Match prediction

  • Selaya's far stronger recent form and clean-sheet home record justify the double-chance cover, though the 45% draw probability shows the win is not dominant.
  • Naval Reinosa's winless start, three losses, and heavy away defeats make them clear underdogs, supporting the advice against an away victory.
  • Both attacks average just 0.50 goals per game, so the -3.5 goals line is well supported by the low-scoring evidence.
  • Selaya's home defence has conceded zero goals while Naval Reinosa have scored none at home, reinforcing the under-goals expectation.
  • The 45% draw probability is nearly equal to Selaya's win chance, so the double chance correctly hedges the most likely single outcomes.
  • Naval Reinosa's defensive collapses, including a 0-4 home loss, suggest the main risk to the under line is a Selaya rout, not an away upset.
Predicted winner
Selaya
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Selaya or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSelayaNaval Reinosa
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total65.7%34.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Selaya

Recent form: DLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Naval Reinosa

Recent form: DLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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