Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Naval Reinosa Prediction
Match prediction
- Selaya's far stronger recent form and clean-sheet home record justify the double-chance cover, though the 45% draw probability shows the win is not dominant.
- Naval Reinosa's winless start, three losses, and heavy away defeats make them clear underdogs, supporting the advice against an away victory.
- Both attacks average just 0.50 goals per game, so the -3.5 goals line is well supported by the low-scoring evidence.
- Selaya's home defence has conceded zero goals while Naval Reinosa have scored none at home, reinforcing the under-goals expectation.
- The 45% draw probability is nearly equal to Selaya's win chance, so the double chance correctly hedges the most likely single outcomes.
- Naval Reinosa's defensive collapses, including a 0-4 home loss, suggest the main risk to the under line is a Selaya rout, not an away upset.
- Predicted winner
- Selaya
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Selaya or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Selaya | Naval Reinosa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Selaya
Recent form: DLWL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Naval Reinosa
Recent form: DLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


