Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast

Sekirovo Rakovski vs Zagorets Prediction

Sekirovo Rakovski badgeSekirovo Rakovski vs Zagorets badgeZagorets

Match prediction

  • Zagorets' superior form and head-to-head record justify favouring them, though the model's equal 45% draw probability makes the double chance the safer expression.
  • Sekirovo's attack ranks higher than Zagorets', but their winless home record and leaky defence undermine that edge against the advice.
  • Both teams concede consistently, supporting the +1.5 goals component, yet Zagorets' low scoring average and frequent failures to score temper overconfidence.
  • The head-to-head history leans heavily toward Zagorets, reinforcing the away side's psychological and tactical advantage in this matchup.
  • Sekirovo's recent form of heavy defeats contrasts with Zagorets' mixed but more competitive results, aligning with the model's low 10% home win probability.
  • The narrow gap between Zagorets' away scoring and Sekirovo's home defence suggests goals are likely, but not guaranteed, supporting the combined advice.
Predicted winner
Zagorets
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Zagorets and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorSekirovo RakovskiZagorets
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2h7.0%93.0%
Goals30.0%70.0%
Total37.0%63.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Sekirovo Rakovski

Recent form: LDDLLLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Zagorets

Recent form: DLWWLWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sekirovo Rakovski 1–2 Zagorets (04 Apr 2026)
  2. Zagorets 1–1 Sekirovo Rakovski (27 Sep 2025)
  3. Sekirovo Rakovski 0–1 Zagorets (01 Mar 2025)
  4. Zagorets 1–0 Sekirovo Rakovski (16 Aug 2024)
  5. Zagorets 2–1 Sekirovo Rakovski (15 May 2024)
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