Brazil · Carioca B2

SE Belford Roxo vs Santa Cruz RJ Prediction

SE Belford Roxo badgeSE Belford Roxo vs Santa Cruz RJ badgeSanta Cruz RJ

Match prediction

  • Santa Cruz RJ's superior form and defensive record justify favoring them, though the draw carries equal probability, supporting the double-chance advice.
  • Belford Roxo's attack and defence metrics lag behind Santa Cruz's, reinforcing the model's low home-win probability.
  • Santa Cruz's three clean sheets in five contrast with Belford Roxo's leaky defence, strengthening the case for the away side or draw.
  • The sole head-to-head meeting ended in an away win for Santa Cruz, a small sample that nonetheless aligns with the prediction.
  • Belford Roxo's tendency toward draws and Santa Cruz's perfect no-draw record create tension, which the draw-or-away advice accommodates.
  • Both teams average similar goals scored, but Santa Cruz's far tighter defence tilts the overall edge toward the existing advice.
Predicted winner
Santa Cruz RJ
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Santa Cruz RJ
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSE Belford RoxoSanta Cruz RJ
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson28.0%72.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total35.2%64.8%

Team form and goal analysis

SE Belford Roxo

Recent form: WDDLD.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Santa Cruz RJ

Recent form: WLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. SE Belford Roxo 2–3 Santa Cruz RJ (12 Oct 2025)
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