World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 Prediction
· Rugby Park
Match prediction
- Scotland's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home-winner advice, though the 45% draw probability signals this is far from certain.
- Azerbaijan's low win probability and weak away scoring make them unlikely winners, but their four draws in eight matches explain the elevated draw risk.
- Scotland's home defensive record of two goals conceded in four games contrasts sharply with Azerbaijan's away scoring average of 0.30, favouring a home clean sheet.
- The only head-to-head ended 3-3, a small sample that tempers confidence in Scotland's defensive edge despite their stronger overall profile.
- Scotland's recent form includes heavy losses and blanks, so their attacking advantage may not translate into a comfortable margin.
- Azerbaijan's tendency to draw and Scotland's occasional scoring droughts suggest the winner advice carries genuine draw risk rather than dominance.
- Predicted winner
- Scotland U21
- Betting advice
- Winner : Scotland U21
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Scotland U21 | Azerbaijan U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 98.0% | 2.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Scotland U21
Recent form: LLWDWWDL.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Azerbaijan U21
Recent form: LDLDWLDD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Azerbaijan U21 3–3 Scotland U21 (14 Oct 2025)


