World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 Prediction

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Scotland U21 badgeScotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 badgeAzerbaijan U21

Match prediction

  • Scotland's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home-winner advice, though the 45% draw probability signals this is far from certain.
  • Azerbaijan's low win probability and weak away scoring make them unlikely winners, but their four draws in eight matches explain the elevated draw risk.
  • Scotland's home defensive record of two goals conceded in four games contrasts sharply with Azerbaijan's away scoring average of 0.30, favouring a home clean sheet.
  • The only head-to-head ended 3-3, a small sample that tempers confidence in Scotland's defensive edge despite their stronger overall profile.
  • Scotland's recent form includes heavy losses and blanks, so their attacking advantage may not translate into a comfortable margin.
  • Azerbaijan's tendency to draw and Scotland's occasional scoring droughts suggest the winner advice carries genuine draw risk rather than dominance.
Predicted winner
Scotland U21
Betting advice
Winner : Scotland U21
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorScotland U21Azerbaijan U21
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson98.0%2.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total61.2%38.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Scotland U21

Recent form: LLWDWWDL.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Azerbaijan U21

Recent form: LDLDWLDD.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Azerbaijan U21 3–3 Scotland U21 (14 Oct 2025)
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