Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Borussia Hildesheim Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Borussia Hildesheim a 45% win probability and Schwarz-Weiß Rehden only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, which is why the advice is a double chance on the draw or Hildesheim rather than a straight away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Hildesheim lead on form (54 vs 46), defence (83 vs 17) and head-to-head (60 vs 40), while Rehden counter with the stronger attack (54 vs 46) and a strikingly high Poisson value of 85 against Hildesheim's 15. The Poisson figure looks like the main internal conflict, since it points toward Rehden despite the model's overall lean, and the near-identical total scores of 47.70 and 52.30 suggest the two sides are separated by only a narrow margin. Rehden's team analysis shows a seven-match record of five wins, two draws and no defeats, with three clean sheets and only six goals conceded at 0.90 per game, so their unbeaten profile is a genuine qualifier to the away-side advice. Hildesheim's record is also five wins from seven but with two defeats and no draws, including a 5-0 away loss, which explains why the model hedges with the draw rather than backing them outright. The last-five records sharpen that contrast: Rehden have four wins and a draw, scoring 14 and conceding five, while Hildesheim have won all five, scoring 12 and conceding just one, so both arrive in strong but differently shaped form. Rehden's goals analysis reinforces their attacking case with 17 goals at 2.40 per game and a 3.00 home average, whereas Hildesheim's 12 goals at 1.70 per game and 1.70 away concession rate suggest their edge is more about control than firepower. The head-to-head record is the most awkward evidence for the prediction, since Rehden won the most recent meeting 3-1 and the last five encounters produced three home wins, one away win and one draw, with Hildesheim's 60% h2h score reflecting a longer ten-match sample rather than recent dominance. Overall, the draw-or-Hildesheim advice rests on Hildesheim's defensive and form edge plus their h2h score, but it is visibly weakened by Rehden's unbeaten run, superior attack and the Poisson split, so the double chance reads as a risk-managed position rather than a confident one.

Predicted winner

Borussia Hildesheim

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Borussia Hildesheim

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 3–1 Borussia Hildesheim (13 May 2026)
2. Borussia Hildesheim 2–1 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden (29 Mar 2026)
3. Borussia Hildesheim 2–1 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden (18 May 2025)
4. Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1–0 Borussia Hildesheim (09 Nov 2024)
5. Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1–4 Borussia Hildesheim (06 Apr 2024)