Serie D - Girone B · Italy
Scanzorosciate vs Pro Palazzolo Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Scanzorosciate a 35% home win probability and the same 35% draw probability, leaving Pro Palazzolo at 30%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Scanzorosciate or draw rather than a straight home win. That narrow edge is only partly echoed in the comparison metrics, where Pro Palazzolo's superior form score of 60.00 against 40.00 and Scanzorosciate's stronger defence score of 67.00 against 33.00 pull in opposite directions, while attack is level at 50.00 for both. The Poisson, head-to-head and goals comparison columns are all populated with zeros, so they add no separating signal and should be treated as neutral rather than as evidence against either side. Scanzorosciate's four league games produced a W-D-L-L sequence with one win, one draw and two defeats, and their away record is the more active sample at three matches, including a 3-0 win at Fiorenzuola and a 2-1 loss at Nibbiano & Valtidone. Pro Palazzolo's L-W-W-L record over the same four games looks marginally more convincing in form terms, but it is built on a 2-0 home win over Milan II and a 1-0 away win at Fiorenzuola, offset by a heavy 5-1 defeat at Real Calepina. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast: Scanzorosciate have scored four and conceded three, with all three concessions arriving between the 61st and 75th minute, whereas Pro Palazzolo have scored four but conceded six, including five away goals and a 2.50 away goals-against average. Both teams have kept two clean sheets and failed to score twice or once respectively, so neither attack is reliably prolific, and the under-2.5 line is supported in every match for both sides. The last-five records extend the picture slightly beyond the league sample, with Scanzorosciate also losing 3-0 to Albinoleffe and Pro Palazzolo losing 3-2 to Città di Varese, which reinforces the impression of two inconsistent, low-margin teams. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical fixture evidence to confirm or contradict the model's near-even split. Overall, the 35-35-30 probabilities and the double chance advice look consistent with a fixture where Scanzorosciate's defensive solidity and Pro Palazzolo's away vulnerability roughly cancel out Pro Palazzolo's better recent form, but the small four-game samples and the absence of head-to-head and Poisson separation mean the edge is fragile rather than decisive.
- Predicted winner
- Scanzorosciate
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Scanzorosciate or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Scanzorosciate | Pro Palazzolo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Scanzorosciate
Recent form: WDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Pro Palazzolo
Recent form: LWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


