Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Scandicci vs Ternana Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model output favours Scandicci via a double chance at 45% home win and 45% draw against Ternana's 10%, so the advice essentially treats the away side as a marginal threat rather than a genuine contender. That reading is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Scandicci lead on form (64.00 to 36.00), attack (62.00 to 38.00) and especially the Poisson calculation (88.00 to 12.00), though the defensive split is narrower at 44.00 to 56.00 in Ternana's favour, hinting the hosts are not airtight. The goals data qualify that caution: Scandicci have scored 8 goals in four games at 2.00 per match while conceding only 1 at home, whereas Ternana have managed 5 goals at 1.30 per match and rely heavily on home output, with 4 of their 5 goals coming at home and just 0.50 per away game. Ternana's away fragility is further exposed by 3 goals conceded on the road at 1.50 per away match, and their failure to score in one of four outings, compared with Scandicci's record of scoring in every match. The last-five records tell a similar but not identical story: Scandicci's sequence of D, L, W, W, D includes a 3-0 home win over Rondinella and a 3-2 away win at Grassina, while Ternana's L, D, L, W, D features a 3-0 home win over Tau Altopascio but also away defeats at Mezzolara and Prato. Because both teams have played only four league fixtures, these form and goal splits rest on a small sample and should be treated as indicative rather than settled. The head-to-head section is empty, and the goals comparison fields for head-to-head and goals are recorded as 0.00 for both sides, so no direct historical or goals-based edge between these clubs can be drawn from the supplied evidence. Overall, the weight of form, attack, Poisson and scoring consistency supports the existing Scandicci-or-draw advice, but the weaker defensive comparison and Ternana's capacity for a clean-sheet home win mean the 10% away probability may understate the visitors' upset potential.
- Predicted winner
- Scandicci
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Scandicci or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Scandicci | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Scandicci
Recent form: DLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Ternana
Recent form: LDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


