Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Scafatese vs Team Altamura Prediction
· Stadio Raffaele Guariglia
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Scafatese via a double chance of win or draw combined with under 3.5 goals, assigning 45% to a home win, 45% to a draw, and only 10% to an away victory. That split is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Scafatese lead on form (60.00 vs 40.00), attack (63.00 vs 38.00), defence (57.00 vs 43.00), and overall total (60.00 vs 40.30), though the Poisson column is a stark exception that favours the away side 100.00 to 0.00 and should be treated as a conflicting signal rather than a settled one. Scafatese's six-game record of one win, four draws and one loss, with a DLDWDD form line, explains the high draw probability: they have been hard to beat but rarely dominant, drawing three of four away matches and failing to score in both home fixtures. Team Altamura's WDLLLW profile, by contrast, shows two home wins but three defeats and no away wins, and their attacking output is notably thin at 0.70 goals per game against Scafatese's 1.30, which supports the home side's edge while also hinting at a low-scoring contest. The goals analysis reinforces the under 3.5 element, since neither team has seen a match exceed 3.5 goals in six attempts, and Scafatese's goals are heavily back-loaded with 50% arriving after the 76th minute, suggesting late rather than early scoring. Defensively, Scafatese concede 1.50 per game and Altamura 1.30, so neither back line is watertight, but Altamura's failure to score in three of six matches and their 0.50 away goals average make a comfortable away win look unlikely. The last-five records add texture: Scafatese have drawn four of five, including 0-0 with SS Monopoli and 1-1 at Cosenza, while Altamura lost three straight before beating AZ Picerno 2-1, a run that partly explains their weaker form score. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical fixture data is available to corroborate or challenge the model's lean, and the goals comparison fields for both sides are also zeroed out, meaning those particular metrics offer no additional signal. On balance, the evidence supports a cautious home-favouring, low-goal reading, but the unopposed Poisson split and the absence of head-to-head data leave enough uncertainty that the 45% draw share is best treated as a genuine alternative rather than a formality.
- Predicted winner
- Scafatese
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Scafatese or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Scafatese | Team Altamura |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Scafatese
Recent form: DLDWDD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Team Altamura
Recent form: WDLLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


