SC Torrevieja vs Soneja Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Soneja as the winner, but its 45% away probability is matched exactly by a 45% draw probability, leaving only 10% for SC Torrevieja, so the advice is better read as a slight preference than a clear edge. The comparison metrics reinforce that lean: Soneja leads form 57 to 43 and attack 67 to 33, while defence is level at 50 apiece, suggesting the separation comes mainly from attacking output rather than defensive superiority. The Poisson split of 100 to 0 in Soneja's favour is far more extreme than the probability distribution, and the goals and head-to-head comparison columns are both empty at 0, so those inputs appear to carry no weight here. Torrevieja's three-match form of WLL includes a 2-1 away win at Hércules II but also 0-2 defeats both at home to Vall de Uxó and away to Acero, and they have failed to score in two of three games with no clean sheets. Soneja's LDW form is more mixed than the prediction implies, with a 2-0 home win over Utiel and a 2-2 away draw at Crevillente offset by a 0-3 home loss to Villarreal III, though they have scored in two of three and kept one clean sheet. The goals analysis shows Torrevieja averaging just 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded, while Soneja average 1.30 scored and the same 1.70 conceded, so both defences have leaked at an identical rate and the attacking gap is real but modest. Soneja's goal timing is spread across the 16-75 minute range, whereas Torrevieja's two goals came in the 31-60 window, and Torrevieja have conceded across five different 15-minute blocks, hinting at a more persistent defensive vulnerability. The last-five records extend Soneja's sample with two May 2026 wins, 5-2 over Jove Español and 1-0 at Roda, but those older results sit outside the current three-match league sample and should be treated cautiously. No head-to-head record is available, so the prediction rests entirely on recent form, attack, and Poisson inputs, and the equal draw and away probabilities mean the model's own numbers do not fully commit to the stated winner.

Predicted winner

Soneja

Betting advice

Winner : Soneja

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.