DFB Pokal - Women · Germany
SC Sand W vs VfL Wolfsburg W Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model frames this DFB Pokal - Women tie as a VfL Wolfsburg W “win or draw” with a combined +3.5 goals lean, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for SC Sand W, so the advice is really a bet against a home win rather than a confident call on the winner. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where SC Sand W oddly lead form and attack at 100.00 while Wolfsburg sit at 0.00, but both defence and Poisson read 0.00 for each side and the head-to-head metric swings 100.00 toward Wolfsburg, showing the inputs are thin and partly contradictory rather than uniformly pro-away. The goals comparison is the clearest signal, with Wolfsburg credited 89.00 against Sand’s 11.00, which supports the +3.5 component even though the same table offers no defensive separation. Wolfsburg’s team analysis is essentially empty, with no form, no fixtures played and zeroes across goals for and against, so their case rests entirely on the last-five and head-to-head sections rather than on any season profile. Their last five show three wins and two defeats, including a 6-1 home win over Sturm Graz W, a 2-0 win at Stuttgart W and a 3-2 home win over Werder Bremen W, but also a 1-2 loss at 1899 Hoffenheim W and a 1-3 loss at Inter Milano W, which suggests a high-scoring, occasionally vulnerable side rather than an untouchable one. SC Sand W’s last five are far less convincing, with two draws, two defeats and one win, including a 0-0 at Meppen W, a 1-2 home loss to Viktoria Berlin W, a 2-2 draw at Hoffenheim II W, a 0-3 home loss to Bochum W and a 2-1 win at Borussia Monchengladbach W, so their 100.00 form and attack scores look inflated relative to actual results. Their goals analysis covers only one match, a 7-0 away win in which all seven goals came between the 16th and 90th minutes and every over line from 0.5 to 4.5 was cleared, while their goals-against record is a single clean sheet, making the sample too small to treat as a trend. The head-to-head record is the strongest historical anchor and it is overwhelmingly one-sided: Wolfsburg won 4-0 and 4-0 at home, 3-1 and 4-0 away, 9-0 away and 4-0 away, while Sand’s only wins in the ten meetings were 1-2 away in 2022 and a 1-0 home result in 2019, with Wolfsburg also winning 7-0 and 2-0 at home. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance and over 3.5 framing mainly through Wolfsburg’s goal-heavy recent form and a lopsided head-to-head, but the empty Wolfsburg profile, Sand’s misleading 100.00 ratings and the even 50-50 probabilities mean this should be read as a plausible rather than certain outcome.
- Predicted winner
- VfL Wolfsburg W
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or VfL Wolfsburg W and +3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- +3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | SC Sand W | VfL Wolfsburg W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Total | 11.0% | 89.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
SC Sand W
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 7.00 per match.
VfL Wolfsburg W
Recent form: Not available.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- SC Sand W 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W (16 Mar 2022)
- VfL Wolfsburg W 4–0 SC Sand W (12 Sep 2021)
- SC Sand W 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W (28 Mar 2021)
- VfL Wolfsburg W 4–0 SC Sand W (07 Oct 2020)
- SC Sand W 0–4 VfL Wolfsburg W (08 Dec 2019)