SC Freiburg vs FC Luzern Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Freiburg avoid defeat in roughly nine of ten modeled outcomes.
- Freiburg's perfect three-win form with two clean sheets supports the home side, though the small sample and friendly context temper that strength.
- Luzern's superior form and attack ratings conflict with Freiburg's far stronger defence and Poisson edge, explaining why the model still favors the home side.
- Luzern's 1.70 goals-against average and single clean sheet suggest they concede regularly, reinforcing Freiburg's win-or-draw coverage.
- The lone head-to-head ended level, and equal goals and H2H splits offer no separation, supporting the draw component of the advice.
- Freiburg's 2.70 goals per game and Luzern's 2.20 average point to goals, yet the prediction's under-over field remains unset.
- Predicted winner
- SC Freiburg
- Betting advice
- Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | SC Freiburg | FC Luzern |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Poisson | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
SC Freiburg
Recent form: WWW.
Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.
FC Luzern
Recent form: LWWWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- SC Freiburg 2–2 FC Luzern (09 Dec 2022)