NB III - Northwest · Hungary
Sárisápi Bányász vs Király SZE Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward a Sárisápi Bányász win, with a 50% home probability and an equally sized 50% draw probability leaving no room for a Király SZE away win, so the advice is best read as a cautious home lean rather than a confident one. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Sárisápi dominate form (92 versus 8), attack (67 versus 33), defence (65 versus 35) and Poisson (83 versus 17), yet the head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all populated with zeros, meaning those dimensions carry no separating information here. The team records explain much of that gap: Sárisápi have five wins and three losses from eight matches with no draws, while Király SZE have just one win, two draws and five losses, so the home side's advantage rests on a clearly better but still imperfect body of results. Sárisápi's home profile is especially strong, with three wins from three at home, a 4-1 best home win and only three goals conceded at home, whereas Király SZE have lost twice and drawn once at home without a win and have conceded six there. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, as Sárisápi average 2.70 goals at home against 1.00 conceded, while Király SZE average 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded both home and away, suggesting the visitors struggle to generate enough output to overturn the form gap. Sárisápi's last five show three wins, including a 4-1 home win over Balatonalmádi and a 1-0 home win over SC Sopron, but also two away defeats by 3-0 and 3-1, which is a reminder that their strength is concentrated at home. Király SZE's last five are far weaker, with four defeats and one draw, including a 3-0 loss at Haladás VSE and a 3-1 home loss to Bicskei, and they have failed to score in three of their eight matches. The head-to-head record is empty, so there is no historical fixture evidence to either support or contradict the model's home lean, and the 50% draw probability means the model itself acknowledges a substantial chance the match does not separate the sides. Overall, the evidence points to Sárisápi as the more plausible winner on form, home record and attacking output, but the absence of head-to-head data, the zeroed comparison fields and the equal draw probability mean this should be treated as a tentative lean rather than a firm conclusion.
- Predicted winner
- Sárisápi Bányász
- Betting advice
- Winner : Sárisápi Bányász
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sárisápi Bányász | Király SZE |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92.0% | 8.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Poisson | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 76.8% | 23.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sárisápi Bányász
Recent form: LWLWLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Király SZE
Recent form: WLDLLLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


