Greece · Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Sarakinos vs Pierikos Prediction

Sarakinos badgeSarakinos vs Pierikos badgePierikos

Match prediction

  • Pierikos' perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings justify favouring them despite the venue being Sarakinos' home ground.
  • The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities show Pierikos are favoured but far from certain, so the advice carries real risk.
  • Sarakinos' poor form and single away loss this season weaken their home advantage, supporting the away-winner recommendation.
  • Head-to-head results are split evenly, with each side winning at home, which tempers confidence in Pierikos winning away.
  • Both teams' goal samples are extremely small, so the goal-based metrics should be treated as weak signals rather than reliable trends.
  • Sarakinos' last five include two wins and a draw, suggesting their overall form is less dire than the single-match form string implies.
Predicted winner
Pierikos
Betting advice
Winner : Pierikos
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSarakinosPierikos
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total41.0%59.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Sarakinos

Recent form: L.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Pierikos

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Pierikos 3–2 Sarakinos (25 Jan 2026)
  2. Sarakinos 3–1 Pierikos (26 Oct 2025)
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