Santarritense vs Venda Nova Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output favors Venda Nova as the winner, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for Santarritense, so the advice is best read as a lean rather than a confident call. That tension is mirrored in the comparison metrics, where Venda Nova dominates form (100.00 vs 0.00), attack (100.00 vs 0.00), defence (75.00 vs 25.00) and the aggregate totals (75.00 vs 25.00), while the Poisson and head-to-head columns both sit at 0.00 for each side and therefore add no separating signal. The team analysis explains much of that gap through a single match each: Santarritense lost 3-0 away to Nacional AC MG, failing to score and conceding three, whereas Venda Nova won 2-1 at home against Nova Lavras, scoring twice and conceding once. Those results also drive the goals analysis, with Santarritense averaging 0.00 goals for and 3.00 against, and Venda Nova averaging 2.00 for and 1.00 against, so the attacking contrast is stark but rests on one game apiece. The last-five records reinforce the same pattern without broadening it, since Santarritense's only listed match is that 0-3 defeat and Venda Nova's only listed match is the 2-1 win, meaning neither side has a multi-game sample to confirm consistency. The head-to-head record is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either support or undercut the away lean. One qualification is that Venda Nova's win came at home while this fixture is listed with Santarritense as the home team, and Santarritense's loss came away, so the venue context does not directly validate the model's away preference. Overall, the evidence points mildly toward Venda Nova because its form, attack, defence and goals figures are all stronger, but the even draw/away probabilities, the zeroed Poisson and head-to-head inputs, and the one-match samples mean the prediction should be treated as tentative rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Venda Nova

Betting advice

Winner : Venda Nova

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.