Santa Ana vs Cariari Pococi Prediction
· Estadio de Piedades
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest, not a confident away pick.
- Santa Ana's perfect home record without a draw contrasts with Cariari Pococi's four draws, yet the model still assigns Santa Ana only 10%.
- Cariari Pococi's superior attack, defence, goals and head-to-head metrics support their edge, but the Poisson split favouring Santa Ana signals genuine uncertainty.
- Both teams' goal data show no match exceeding 3.5 goals, directly reinforcing the under 3.5 component of the advice.
- Cariari Pococi's recent scoring has been modest and draw-heavy, which tempers the away win probability and strengthens the draw half of the double chance.
- Head-to-head results are mostly draws and narrow margins, supporting the cautious combination rather than a decisive away victory.
- Predicted winner
- Cariari Pococi
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Cariari Pococi and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Santa Ana | Cariari Pococi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Santa Ana
Recent form: WWWLWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Cariari Pococi
Recent form: WWDDDLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cariari Pococi —–— Santa Ana (01 Oct 2026)
- Santa Ana 1–1 Cariari Pococi (10 Mar 2026)
- Cariari Pococi 4–1 Santa Ana (18 Jan 2026)
- Cariari Pococi 1–1 Santa Ana (08 Oct 2025)
- Santa Ana 2–2 Cariari Pococi (26 Aug 2025)