Sant'Angelo vs Castellanzese Prediction
Match prediction
- Castellanzese's superior attack and form ratings, plus a Poisson edge, justify favoring them despite the draw carrying equal probability.
- Sant'Angelo's low win probability reflects a draw-heavy profile with just one win and only four goals in five matches.
- Castellanzese's two recent heavy wins show scoring potential, though two losses in five suggest the double chance is prudent.
- Both head-to-head meetings ended as away wins, supporting Castellanzese's side of the draw-or-away advice.
- Sant'Angelo's defensive record is tighter than their attack, which explains why the draw probability matches Castellanzese's win probability.
- Castellanzese's goals cluster early while Sant'Angelo concede late, hinting at a possible shift after halftime.
- Predicted winner
- Castellanzese
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Castellanzese
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sant'Angelo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 39.7% | 60.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sant'Angelo
Recent form: DDWDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Castellanzese
Recent form: WLLWW.
Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sant'Angelo 0–2 Castellanzese (17 Apr 2025)
- Castellanzese 1–3 Sant'Angelo (08 Dec 2024)