Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Sanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas Prediction

· Estadio El Palmar

Sanluqueño badgeSanluqueño vs Mijas Las Lagunas badgeMijas Las Lagunas

Match prediction

  • The model gives Sanluqueño and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects near-equal win and stalemate likelihoods rather than a clear home edge.
  • Both sides sit at 50% form, but Sanluqueño's defensive score of 62 against Mijas's attack of 62 suggests the hosts can absorb pressure.
  • Mijas's attack rating of 62 exceeds Sanluqueño's 38, yet their away scoring average of 0.50 and a 4-0 loss show that threat rarely travels.
  • Sanluqueño have kept a clean sheet at home while Mijas have none all season, supporting the draw-inclusive advice over an outright away win.
  • Mijas's 6-2 home win inflates their goal numbers, but their away record of one goal in two games weakens any case for an away victory.
  • With no head-to-head history and both teams drawing twice in four matches, the model's 10% away probability reflects Mijas's limited away output.
Predicted winner
Sanluqueño
Betting advice
Double chance : Sanluqueño or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSanluqueñoMijas Las Lagunas
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence62.0%38.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Sanluqueño

Recent form: DWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Mijas Las Lagunas

Recent form: LDDW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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