Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki Prediction
· Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win probability, equal to the draw, signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear dominance.
- Hiroshima's perfect head-to-head and goals records rest on a single 2024 meeting, so that edge is suggestive but thin.
- Both teams won their only cup tie, yet Hiroshima scored four while Iwaki's clean sheet came in a lower-scoring 2-0.
- Hiroshima's recent form includes a six-goal home win but also an away loss, tempering the case for a comfortable victory.
- Iwaki's last five show three defeats, including two recent losses, which supports the low 10% away probability.
- The 45% draw probability reflects that Iwaki's defensive record and Hiroshima's inconsistency keep this tie open.
- Predicted winner
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Betting advice
- Winner : Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Iwaki |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.
Iwaki
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Iwaki (10 Jul 2024)