Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance, though the level split shows no clear favourite.
- Sandefjord's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home side, but their weak head-to-head record tempers that edge.
- Fredrikstad's head-to-head dominance and goal metrics conflict with Sandefjord's stronger overall profile, explaining why the model avoids a straight home win.
- Sandefjord's perfect home record without defeat strengthens the double chance, while Fredrikstad's away form is less reliable.
- Both teams' low-scoring tendencies and Sandefjord's strong home defence suggest a tight match, making the draw component valuable.
- The friendly context and Sandefjord's recent heavy win over weaker opposition add uncertainty, so the cautious double chance is reasonable.
- Predicted winner
- Sandefjord
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Sandefjord or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Sandefjord | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Sandefjord
Recent form: WWWLDWWWWD.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Fredrikstad
Recent form: DWWWDWWDDL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Fredrikstad 1–0 Sandefjord (01 Aug 2026)
- Sandefjord 1–1 Fredrikstad (25 May 2026)
- Sandefjord 0–0 Fredrikstad (26 Oct 2025)
- Fredrikstad 3–1 Sandefjord (21 Apr 2025)
- Sandefjord 2–2 Fredrikstad (15 Feb 2025)