San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Prediction
· Estadio La Ciudadela
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of its edge, since a single winner carries no real separation.
- Gimnasia Y Tiro's stronger recent form and superior defensive rating support the away side, though San Martin's home draw habit keeps the draw live.
- San Martin's 13 draws in 31 matches, including eight at home, directly justify the draw half of the double chance advice.
- Head-to-head favours Gimnasia Y Tiro, but the most recent meeting at this venue went to San Martin, so home advantage cannot be dismissed.
- Both attacks are modest and most matches stay under 2.5 goals, reinforcing a low-scoring contest where the draw or narrow away win fits.
- San Martin's attack rating exceeds Gimnasia's despite weaker form, a conflict that explains why the model caps the away win at 45%.
- Predicted winner
- Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | San Martin Tucuman | Gimnasia Y Tiro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 18.0% | 82.0% |
| Poisson | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
San Martin Tucuman
Recent form: DWDWDDDWDLWWLLLDLDWWDLLDDWDLWLD.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Recent form: WWWDLLDLDLLLWDDWLDWDWWWWDLWWDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 San Martin Tucuman (17 May 2026)
- Gimnasia Y Tiro 2–0 San Martin Tucuman (26 Jul 2025)
- San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro (24 Mar 2025)
- San Martin Tucuman 0–2 Gimnasia Y Tiro (03 Oct 2015)
- San Martin Tucuman 3–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro (07 Jun 2015)