Argentina · Reserve League

San Martín San Juan Res. vs Lanús Res. Prediction

San Martín San Juan Res. badgeSan Martín San Juan Res. vs Lanús Res. badgeLanús Res.

Match prediction

  • Lanús Res. is favoured at 45%, but an equal draw probability signals the model sees this as close rather than dominant.
  • Lanús Res.'s far stronger form, attack, and Poisson metrics support the away-winner advice over San Martín's weak profile.
  • San Martín's defence is comparatively better than its attack, which could keep the margin tighter than Lanús's overall edge suggests.
  • Lanús Res. won the most recent head-to-head 6-1, reinforcing the matchup trend behind the prediction.
  • Both teams concede heavily late, so the winner may only be settled in the closing stages.
  • San Martín's low scoring rate and frequent failures to score make an upset win unlikely, though a draw remains plausible.
Predicted winner
Lanús Res.
Betting advice
Winner : Lanús Res.
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSan Martín San Juan Res.Lanús Res.
Form29.0%71.0%
Attack15.0%85.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson22.0%78.0%
H2h33.0%67.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total31.8%68.2%

Team form and goal analysis

San Martín San Juan Res.

Recent form: LLLLWLLLWLLLDLDLLLDDLDWWLDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Lanús Res.

Recent form: WDWWWWLWDLWWLWLWLWLLWDWWWWLDW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lanús Res. 6–1 San Martín San Juan Res. (29 Apr 2026)
  2. San Martín San Juan Res. 0–1 Lanús Res. (22 Oct 2025)
  3. Lanús Res. 0–3 San Martín San Juan Res. (22 May 2025)
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