San Martin Formosa vs Atenas Prediction
· 17 De Octubre
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since Atenas is given only a 10% chance despite recent head-to-head wins.
- San Martin Formosa's perfect home record of ten wins and no losses in twelve matches strongly supports avoiding an away victory.
- Atenas has lost six of twelve away matches and failed to score in six total fixtures, undermining its case for an upset.
- San Martin's defensive score of 75 against Atenas's 25, plus a 0.70 home goals-against average, points to a low-scoring home-controlled match.
- The head-to-head record is split with Atenas winning the two most recent meetings, which tempers confidence in a home win and explains the draw probability.
- Both teams average exactly 1.00 goals per game overall, suggesting a tight contest where the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Predicted winner
- San Martin Formosa
- Betting advice
- Double chance : San Martin Formosa or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | San Martin Formosa | Atenas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Poisson | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Total | 70.0% | 30.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
San Martin Formosa
Recent form: WLDDWWWLWWLWWDLWWWWDWLWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Atenas
Recent form: WLDWWLWWLDLDWLDDLWWDWLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Atenas 0–1 San Martin Formosa (28 Sep 2026)
- San Martin Formosa 3–1 Atenas (16 Nov 2025)
- Atenas 0–1 San Martin Formosa (08 Nov 2025)
- San Martin Formosa 2–0 Atenas (01 Sep 2024)


