Argentina · Torneo Federal A

San Martin Formosa vs Atenas Prediction

· 17 De Octubre

San Martin Formosa badgeSan Martin Formosa vs Atenas badgeAtenas

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since Atenas is given only a 10% chance despite recent head-to-head wins.
  • San Martin Formosa's perfect home record of ten wins and no losses in twelve matches strongly supports avoiding an away victory.
  • Atenas has lost six of twelve away matches and failed to score in six total fixtures, undermining its case for an upset.
  • San Martin's defensive score of 75 against Atenas's 25, plus a 0.70 home goals-against average, points to a low-scoring home-controlled match.
  • The head-to-head record is split with Atenas winning the two most recent meetings, which tempers confidence in a home win and explains the draw probability.
  • Both teams average exactly 1.00 goals per game overall, suggesting a tight contest where the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
Predicted winner
San Martin Formosa
Betting advice
Double chance : San Martin Formosa or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSan Martin FormosaAtenas
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals88.0%13.0%
Total70.0%30.4%

Team form and goal analysis

San Martin Formosa

Recent form: WLDDWWWLWWLWWDLWWWWDWLWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Atenas

Recent form: WLDWWLWWLDLDWLDDLWWDWLWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Atenas 0–1 San Martin Formosa (28 Sep 2026)
  2. San Martin Formosa 3–1 Atenas (16 Nov 2025)
  3. Atenas 0–1 San Martin Formosa (08 Nov 2025)
  4. San Martin Formosa 2–0 Atenas (01 Sep 2024)
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