Nicaragua · Primera Division

San Marcos vs Diriangén Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Diriangén

San Marcos badgeSan Marcos vs Diriangén badgeDiriangén

Match prediction

  • Diriangén's unbeaten record and superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics support the model's away-winner advice.
  • San Marcos's three defeats in five and leaky defence of 1.30 goals conceded per game give Diriangén a clear edge.
  • Diriangén's four clean sheets and zero failed-to-score matches contrast sharply with San Marcos's single clean sheet.
  • The 45% draw probability matching the away win tempers confidence, especially given July's 1-1 head-to-head draw.
  • Diriangén's 2.40 away goals per game against San Marcos's 1.00 average suggests the visitors can break through.
  • Identical 50-50 head-to-head and goals splits show the model's edge rests on form and quality, not historical dominance.
Predicted winner
Diriangén
Betting advice
Winner : Diriangén
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorSan MarcosDiriangén
Form41.0%59.0%
Attack35.0%65.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson25.0%75.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total39.8%60.3%

Team form and goal analysis

San Marcos

Recent form: DDLLLWWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Diriangén

Recent form: DWDWWWDWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Diriangén 1–1 San Marcos (18 Jul 2026)
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