Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs River Ebro Prediction
Match prediction
- San Marcial's superior form and defensive record support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal home and draw probabilities signal limited confidence in an outright win.
- River Ebro's winless away record and heavy defeats expose a defensive weakness that makes San Marcial's unbeaten double chance the safer selection.
- The model's Poisson edge and total-score advantage for San Marcial reinforce the home side's expected control, despite River Ebro's marginally stronger attack metric.
- River Ebro's tendency to concede late goals against San Marcial's late scoring pattern suggests the home side can secure at least a draw.
- The absence of head-to-head data means recent form and defensive metrics carry the analytical weight behind the double-chance recommendation.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles and San Marcial's clean-sheet record point toward a tight match where avoiding defeat is the realistic expectation.
- Predicted winner
- San Marcial
- Betting advice
- Double chance : San Marcial or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | San Marcial | River Ebro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Defence | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
San Marcial
Recent form: WDDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
River Ebro
Recent form: LLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


