Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

San Marcial vs River Ebro Prediction

San Marcial badgeSan Marcial vs River Ebro badgeRiver Ebro

Match prediction

  • San Marcial's superior form and defensive record support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal home and draw probabilities signal limited confidence in an outright win.
  • River Ebro's winless away record and heavy defeats expose a defensive weakness that makes San Marcial's unbeaten double chance the safer selection.
  • The model's Poisson edge and total-score advantage for San Marcial reinforce the home side's expected control, despite River Ebro's marginally stronger attack metric.
  • River Ebro's tendency to concede late goals against San Marcial's late scoring pattern suggests the home side can secure at least a draw.
  • The absence of head-to-head data means recent form and defensive metrics carry the analytical weight behind the double-chance recommendation.
  • Both teams' low-scoring profiles and San Marcial's clean-sheet record point toward a tight match where avoiding defeat is the realistic expectation.
Predicted winner
San Marcial
Betting advice
Double chance : San Marcial or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSan MarcialRiver Ebro
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack43.0%57.0%
Defence80.0%20.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total62.0%38.3%

Team form and goal analysis

San Marcial

Recent form: WDDL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

River Ebro

Recent form: LLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Loading interactive prediction…