Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

San Juan vs Subiza Prediction

San Juan badgeSan Juan vs Subiza badgeSubiza

Match prediction

  • Subiza's stronger recent form and attack ratings support the draw-or-Subiza advice, though San Juan's home advantage and low loss probability keep the outcome uncertain.
  • The model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities reflect genuine ambiguity, with San Juan's 10% win chance suggesting a narrow edge rather than dominance.
  • Subiza's superior goal output and head-to-head record strengthen the away side's case, but San Juan's solid home defence and clean sheet record offer resistance.
  • San Juan's poor recent form, including heavy away defeats, contrasts with Subiza's unbeaten home record, reinforcing the prediction's lean toward the visitors.
  • The head-to-head history shows Subiza winning three of five completed meetings, yet two draws indicate San Juan can frustrate, supporting the double chance.
  • Both teams' defensive metrics are identical, so the prediction hinges on Subiza's attacking superiority and San Juan's home vulnerability, favouring the draw-or-away outcome.
Predicted winner
Subiza
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Subiza
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorSan JuanSubiza
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack41.0%59.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson79.0%21.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals29.0%71.0%
Total43.3%56.7%

Team form and goal analysis

San Juan

Recent form: WLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Subiza

Recent form: LWDW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Subiza 3–1 San Juan (08 Feb 2026)
  2. San Juan 0–0 Subiza (27 Sep 2025)
  3. San Juan 1–1 Subiza (27 Mar 2021)
  4. Subiza 1–0 San Juan (20 Dec 2020)
  5. Subiza —–— San Juan (26 Apr 2020)
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