Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
San Juan vs Subiza Prediction
Match prediction
- Subiza's stronger recent form and attack ratings support the draw-or-Subiza advice, though San Juan's home advantage and low loss probability keep the outcome uncertain.
- The model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities reflect genuine ambiguity, with San Juan's 10% win chance suggesting a narrow edge rather than dominance.
- Subiza's superior goal output and head-to-head record strengthen the away side's case, but San Juan's solid home defence and clean sheet record offer resistance.
- San Juan's poor recent form, including heavy away defeats, contrasts with Subiza's unbeaten home record, reinforcing the prediction's lean toward the visitors.
- The head-to-head history shows Subiza winning three of five completed meetings, yet two draws indicate San Juan can frustrate, supporting the double chance.
- Both teams' defensive metrics are identical, so the prediction hinges on Subiza's attacking superiority and San Juan's home vulnerability, favouring the draw-or-away outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Subiza
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Subiza
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | San Juan | Subiza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Total | 43.3% | 56.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
San Juan
Recent form: WLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Subiza
Recent form: LWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Subiza 3–1 San Juan (08 Feb 2026)
- San Juan 0–0 Subiza (27 Sep 2025)
- San Juan 1–1 Subiza (27 Mar 2021)
- Subiza 1–0 San Juan (20 Dec 2020)
- Subiza —–— San Juan (26 Apr 2020)


