San Francisco FC vs UMECIT Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% UMECIT probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the even split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear away superiority.
• UMECIT's strong head-to-head record and superior goals comparison support the away lean, but San Francisco's better Poisson and attack ratings qualify it.
• Both teams' identical 50% recent form and San Francisco's three wins in five suggest the home side is not as weak as its 10% win probability implies.
• UMECIT's away defensive vulnerability, conceding 1.70 per game versus 0.70 at home, explains why the model avoids backing an outright away win.
• The draw's equal 45% weighting reflects UMECIT's tendency toward stalemates, having drawn 12 of 29 matches, which supports the double-chance safety.
• San Francisco's late-game defensive record, conceding 27% of goals after the 76th minute, gives UMECIT a route to a late result.

Predicted winner

UMECIT

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or UMECIT

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. San Francisco FC 2–1 UMECIT (21 Feb 2026)
2. San Francisco FC 0–0 UMECIT (07 Sep 2025)
3. UMECIT 2–0 San Francisco FC (03 May 2025)
4. San Francisco FC 0–2 UMECIT (04 Feb 2025)
5. San Francisco FC 0–2 UMECIT (01 Nov 2024)