San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- San Donato's superior attack and Poisson ratings support their inclusion, though a two-match losing run tempers that advantage.
- Mezzolara's three draws in five and two clean sheets show a resilient, low-scoring profile that makes a stalemate plausible.
- Mezzolara's away form is the weak point, with a 3-0 loss and 2.00 goals conceded per away game undermining their chances.
- Both attacks have scored under 2.5 goals in every match, pointing toward a tight contest where the draw leg carries real weight.
- The absence of head-to-head history means the prediction rests on current form and goal metrics rather than any direct matchup evidence.
- Predicted winner
- San Donato Tavarnelle
- Betting advice
- Double chance : San Donato Tavarnelle or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | San Donato Tavarnelle | Mezzolara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Attack | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Defence | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Poisson | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
San Donato Tavarnelle
Recent form: WWDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Mezzolara
Recent form: DLWDD.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


